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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Increased


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index increased to 132.4 from 131.8. The growth rate rose to -0.7% from -2.0%.

To put the state of the economy in perspective click here to watch Lakshman Achuthan in a current interview on Reuters.

 
For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, please see the chart below:

Related News & Events

U.S. Coincident Index Growth Rate Ticks Down

ECRI March 24, 2016

Year-over-year growth in ECRI’s USCI, a broad measure of economic activity that includes GDP, employment, income and sales, ticked down to to 2.3%. More

 

Interview on Fed and the Business Cycle

Reuters March 16, 2016

More often than not, turns in economic surprise indexes are false alarms, and false all-clear signals. More

 

Monetary Policy Parlor Tricks

ECRI March 15, 2016

Inexorable declines in NGDP growth have become more evident internationally. More