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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. WLI Edges Up


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index edges up to 131.6 from 130.6. The growth rate increases to -2.3% from -3.1%.

To put the state of the economy in perspective click here to watch Lakshman Achuthan in a recent interview on Reuters.

 
For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, please see the chart below:

Related News & Events

Interview on Fed and the Business Cycle

Reuters March 16, 2016

More often than not, turns in economic surprise indexes are false alarms, and false all-clear signals. More

 

Monetary Policy Parlor Tricks

ECRI March 15, 2016

Inexorable declines in NGDP growth have become more evident internationally. More

 

Simple Math Revisited

ECRI March 1, 2016

Potential U.S. GDP growth is converging to ¾% a year, identical to Japan’s GDP growth over its “lost decades.” More

 

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