A Framework That Provides Clarity
During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.
The U.S. Weekly Leading Index edges up to 132.1 from 131.1. The growth rate increases to -1.9% from -2.2%.
To put the state of the economy in perspective click here to watch Lakshman Achuthan in a recent interview on Bloomberg.
For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, please see the chart below:
Six years ago — the last time global import price deflation was this intense — the worst global recession in decades was ending. More
Eight months after we asked “if not now, when?†the reality is that growth has been slowing all year. That’s a fact, not a forecast. More
Discussing the U.S. slowdown, "full employment," and world export price deflation. More
September 18, 2015
Full Report: U.S. Essentials
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