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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. WLI Edged Up


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) edged up to 138.6 from 138.4. The growth rate decreased to 6.7% from 7.3%.



To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- watch Lakshman Achuthan's recent interview on Forbes.

- read ECRI's "Shunted to the Sidelines"

- read ECRI's "Cautionary Signs for Consumer Spending"

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:

Related News & Events

No, A Global Recession Isn't Imminent

Forbes November 10, 2016

Pundits who claim Trump's victory will augur in instant economic disaster are wrong. More

 

Yes, Wages Are Rising Faster Than In Several Years. No, That Isn’t Great.

MarketPlace November 4, 2016

Lakshman Achuthan's podcast interview on Marketplace. More

 

Cautionary Signs for Consumer Spending

ECRI November 4, 2016

Consumer spending, which accounts for roughly 70% of GDP, is critical to the Fed’s optimistic view on the economy as it prepares to hike rates in December. More

 

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