Contact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Edged Up



 
The U.S. Weekly Leading Index edged up to 133.4 from 132.4. The growth rate ticked down to 0.3% from 0.4%.

To put the state of the economy in perspective click here to read A Two-Speed Economy.

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, please see the chart below:

Related News & Events

New Business and Growth Rate Cycle Dates Determined, Including the U.S., Japan and Germany

ECRI July 20, 2015

New cycle dates for the U.S., Japan, Germany, Brazil, Switzerland, Austria, Taiwan, New Zealand and South Africa. More

 

Recoveries Remain Resilient

ECRI July 15, 2015

The big developed economies — especially in Europe — are not yet vulnerable to recessionary shocks. More

 

Low Trend Growth, Productivity Hopes, and the Outlook

Bloomberg July 1, 2015

How long-term growth trends in productivity and hours worked help explain the long-term decline in trend growth ECRI first identified in 2008, pre-Lehman. More

 

Why the Recent Rise in Wage Inflation May Not be Good

ECRI July 1, 2015

In today's Bloomberg TV interview, ECRI's Achuthan discussed why growth in average hourly earnings data is not the "hopeful sign" for wage earners that it's cracked up to be. More