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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. WLI Edges Up


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) edges up to 139.6 from 139.5. The growth rate ticks down to 8.5% from 8.6%.



To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- read Lakshman Achuthan's interview on The Telegraph "Fed Risks Lehman Blunder Repeat as US Recession Storm Gathers".

- read ECRI's "“Early” and “Late” Cycle Verdicts are Baseless".

- watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Reuters.

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:

Related News & Events

Fed Risks Lehman Blunder Repeat as US Recession Storm Gathers

The Daily Telegraph October 20, 2016

We have been seeing a 'growth-rate' cyclical downturn for the last two years. The longer this goes on, the less wiggle room there is. More

 

“Early” and “Late” Cycle Verdicts are Baseless

ECRI October 17, 2016

It’s illogical to assert that the likely duration of an expansion is around six to ten years merely because the last three U.S. expansions lasted that long. More

 

The Next Recession Is Coming. Big Deal.

Bloomberg October 17, 2016

You have to hand it to economists -- they say the darndest things. More

 

Stagflation Lite & Simple Math

Reuters October 7, 2016

Inflation rising as the economy slows, compounded by intractable structural problems. More

 

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