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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. WLI Edged Up


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) edged up to 139.0 from 138.9. The growth rate was virtually unchanged at 8.8%.



To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- watch Lakshman Achuthan's recent interview on Bloomberg TV

- read ECRI's "Fed Hold No Surprise"

- listen to Lakshman Achuthan's radio interview on Bloomberg podcast.

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:

Related News & Events

Fed Hold No Surprise

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The Fed’s decision to hold rates steady in September is no surprise, as weak GDP growth underscores the slowing U.S. economy. More

 

Interview on Fed Models, and an Esoteric Long Leading Index

Bloomberg September 19, 2016

More detail on ECRI’s growth rate cycles, and the global outlook. More

 

Cyclical Update

Bloomberg September 16, 2016

Growth, inflation and policy challenges. More

 

Cyclical Long-Term Slowdown In U.S. Growth But No Recession

Seeking Alpha September 12, 2016

Recall that in early 2016, when many were afraid of recession, ECRI declared that such fears were premature. More

 

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