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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. WLI Decreased


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) decreased to 138.9 from 139.6. The growth rate ticked up to 8.8% from 8.7%.



To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- watch Lakshman Achuthan's recent interview on Bloomberg TV

- read Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Seeking Alpha "Cyclical Long-Term Slowdown In U.S. Growth But No Recession"

- listen to Lakshman Achuthan's radio interview on Bloomberg podcast.

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:

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Interview on Fed Models, and an Esoteric Long Leading Index

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Cyclical Update

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Growth, inflation and policy challenges. More

 

Cyclical Long-Term Slowdown In U.S. Growth But No Recession

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Recall that in early 2016, when many were afraid of recession, ECRI declared that such fears were premature. More

 

Latest Jobs Data in Context

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