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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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U.S. WLI Monthly Increases


The level of the monthly WLI increases to 129.4, the highest since August 2015, when it was 129.8. The growth rate of the monthly WLI rises to a four-month high, the highest since July 2015, when it was at -0.3%


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Interview Part 2, Oversupply Overwhelming Demand

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Post-GFC stimulus has resulted in massive oversupply. More

 

Interview Part 3, Reality of Inventory Build

Bloomberg December 8, 2015

Inventories have risen steadily, but sales have been falling since the summer of 2014. More

 

Macroeconomic Sightings

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The U.S. slowdown has lasted all year. How much worse it will get is the $64,000 question. More

 

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