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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. WLI Monthly Increased


The level of the monthly WLI increased to 137.0 from 136.1.

The growth rate of the monthly WLI rose to 8.0% from 7.5%.



To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- read Lakshman Achuthan's recent interview on Bloomberg.

- read ECRI's "“Early” and “Late” Cycle Verdicts are Baseless."

Related News & Events

Interview: Recession Risk, The Fed & Fiscal Policy

Financial Sense October 21, 2016

Slowdown almost 2 years old, but no recession imminent. More

 

Fed Risks Lehman Blunder Repeat as US Recession Storm Gathers

The Daily Telegraph October 20, 2016

We have been seeing a 'growth-rate' cyclical downturn for the last two years. The longer this goes on, the less wiggle room there is. More

 

“Early” and “Late” Cycle Verdicts are Baseless

ECRI October 17, 2016

It’s illogical to assert that the likely duration of an expansion is around six to ten years merely because the last three U.S. expansions lasted that long. More

 

The Next Recession Is Coming. Big Deal.

Bloomberg October 17, 2016

You have to hand it to economists -- they say the darndest things. More

 

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