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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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New Business and Growth Rate Cycle Dates Determined, Including the U.S., Japan and Germany


Today ECRI is announcing new business and growth rate cycle dates, for Japan, Germany, Brazil, Switzerland, Austria, Taiwan, New Zealand and South Africa.

Click here for the complete international growth rate cycle chronology.

Growth rate cycles are alternating periods of accelerating and decelerating economic growth – and occur within business cycles, which pertain to the level of activity.

Growth rate cycle downturns can culminate in either recessions or soft landings that are followed by a reacceleration in economic growth. Using an approach analogous to that used to determine business cycle dates, ECRI has established growth rate cycle chronologies for more than 20 countries and is considered the arbiter for international business cycle dates.

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