A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged

ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) virtually unchanged at 144.3, and the growth rate ticks down to 2.7% from 2.8%.

To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- watch Anirvan Banerji's current interview on Reuters.

- read ECRI's "Phillips Curveball".

- read Lakshman Achuthan and Anirvan Banerji's op-ed on Bloomberg.

Related News & Events

Womenomics Falls Short for Japan

ECRI August 14, 2017

The long-term shift to non-regular work arrangements may actually exacerbate Japan’s demographic challenges. More


Weekly Leading Index Points to Slowing

ECRI August 8, 2017

Monthly data for ECRI's U.S. WLI shows it rose, while its growth rate ticked down to a 16-month low. More


Interview: Jobs, Inflation & the Fed

Reuters August 4, 2017

Central banks like the Fed are misled by their belief that a lower jobless rate equals higher inflation. More


Phillips Curveball

ECRI July 31, 2017

It is the U.S. Future Inflation Gauge – not the Phillips curve – that provides early warning of an inflation upturn. More