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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Growth at Zero


The latest ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) reading was unchanged at 143.4. However, WLI growth fell to a 78-week low of 0.0%.



To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- watch Lakshman Achuthan's recent CNBC interview

- read Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Seeking Alpha

- read ECRI's "Jan ’17 Flashback: Bond Bears Will Be Blindsided"

For a closer look at the performance of the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:

Related News & Events

Cyclical Forces Pressuring the Fed

CNBC September 20, 2017

ECRI’s Achuthan speaks with CNBC about how monetary policy is impacted by cycles in inflation and growth. More

 

Jan ’17 Flashback: Bond Bears Will Be Blindsided

ECRI September 8, 2017

Last January, ECRI warned that cyclical forces would blindside those betting on the end of the 35-year bond bull market. More

 

Interview: Jobs, the Fed & Cyclical Developments

Reuters September 1, 2017

Economic growth, which has been ramping up since mid-2016, is now about as good as it gets. More