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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Slips Again


Click here to download the Weekly Leading Index (WLI) data.

ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) fell to 141.8 from 143.9. The WLI growth rate declined to a 75-week low of 0.9%, from 1.9% last week.



To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- read ECRI's "Jan ’17 Flashback: Bond Bears Will Be Blindsided"

- watch Lakshman Achuthan's recent Reuters interview.

- read Lakshman Achuthan and Anirvan Banerji's recent op-ed on Bloomberg

For a closer look at the performance of the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:

Related News & Events

Cyclical Forces Pressuring the Fed

CNBC September 20, 2017

ECRI’s Achuthan speaks with CNBC about how monetary policy is impacted by cycles in inflation and growth. More

 

Jan ’17 Flashback: Bond Bears Will Be Blindsided

ECRI September 8, 2017

Last January, ECRI warned that cyclical forces would blindside those betting on the end of the 35-year bond bull market. More

 

Interview: Jobs, the Fed & Cyclical Developments

Reuters September 1, 2017

Economic growth, which has been ramping up since mid-2016, is now about as good as it gets. More

 

Finding the Root Cause of Recessions

Bloomberg August 25, 2017

Two things bear most of the blame: external shocks and economic volatility. More