Contact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. FIG Ticks Up


U.S. inflationary pressures were up slightly in August, as the U.S. future inflation gauge grew to 111.9 from 111.5 in July, according to data released Friday morning by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

"The USFIG ticked up in August, but is still well below last fall’s cyclical peak," ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release. "Thus, underlying inflation pressures remain in a cyclical downswing."

VIEW THIS ARTICLE ON BOND BUYER

Related News & Events

Weekly Leading Index Slips Again

ECRI September 8, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth falls to 75-week low. More

 

Jan ’17 Flashback: Bond Bears Will Be Blindsided

ECRI September 8, 2017

Last January, ECRI warned that cyclical forces would blindside those betting on the end of the 35-year bond bull market. More

 

Interview: Jobs, the Fed & Cyclical Developments

Reuters September 1, 2017

Economic growth, which has been ramping up since mid-2016, is now about as good as it gets. More

 

Finding the Root Cause of Recessions

Bloomberg August 25, 2017

Two things bear most of the blame: external shocks and economic volatility. More