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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

New Growth Rate Cycle Date Determined for the U.S.


Today ECRI is announcing May 2016 as a new growth rate cycle trough date for the U.S.

Growth rate cycles are alternating periods of accelerating and decelerating economic growth – and occur within business cycles, which pertain to the
level of activity.

Growth rate cycle downturns can culminate in either recessions or soft landings that are followed by a reacceleration in economic growth. Using an approach analogous to that used to determine business cycle dates, ECRI has established growth rate cycle chronologies for more than 20 countries and is considered the arbiter for international business cycle dates.

Click here for the complete international growth rate cycle chronology.

Related News & Events

New Interview with Real Vision

Real Vision TV June 16, 2017

ECRI's Achuthan spoke with Real Vision TV about the 2017 cyclical outlook, and more. More

 

Turning Points: The Long and Short of It

ECRI June 13, 2017

Here are the key turning points underpinning the economic angst that won’t go away. More

 

Higher Inflation ‘Should Be Celebrated’

The Times June 13, 2017

We ask the experts whether inflation’s dormant years are over and how to handle its return. More

 

Wage Growth Widely Misunderstood

Bloomberg May 8, 2017

Addressing the paradox of falling wage growth as the economy accelerates. More