Contact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

Weekly Leading Index Points to Slowing


The level of the monthly U.S. Weekly Leading Index rose to 142.5, as its growth rate ticked down to 2.9% from 3.0%.



To put the economic cycle in perspective please see links below:

- watch Anirvan Banerji's recent interview on Reuters.

- read ECRI's "Phillips Curveball".

- read Lakshman Achuthan and Anirvan Banerji's op-ed on Bloomberg.

Related News & Events

Finding the Root Cause of Recessions

Bloomberg August 25, 2017

Two things bear most of the blame: external shocks and economic volatility. More

 

Womenomics Falls Short for Japan

ECRI August 14, 2017

The long-term shift to non-regular work arrangements may actually exacerbate Japan’s demographic challenges. More

 

Interview: Jobs, Inflation & the Fed

Reuters August 4, 2017

Central banks like the Fed are misled by their belief that a lower jobless rate equals higher inflation. More

 

Phillips Curveball

ECRI July 31, 2017

It is the U.S. Future Inflation Gauge – not the Phillips curve – that provides early warning of an inflation upturn. More