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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up


ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) ticked up to 147.4 from 147.3, while WLI growth was nearly unchanged at 3.5%.    



For more on the cyclical outlook, please see the reports below that also mention other forward-looking ECRI data that we've shared publicly:

- read ECRI's "Food Fight: Food Prices Weigh on Inflation as FIG Keeps Score"

- read ECRI's Op-Ed "Tell-Tale Spreads Confirm Slowdown Ahead"

For a closer look at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below:



We believe that economic growth and inflation are inherently cyclical. Click here to review our track record, including ECRI client report excerpts.

For more information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

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Discussing the Employment Report

Reuters January 5, 2018

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