A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



Weekly Leading Index Slips

ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) slipped to 149.3 from 150.3, while WLI growth edged down to 5.7% from 6.9%.       

For more on the cyclical outlook, please see below for other forward-looking ECRI data shared publicly:

- watch ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan in a recent Bloomberg interview

- watch ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan in a CNBC interview

- read ECRI's "Up is Down: Jump in AHE Growth Confirms Economic Slowdown"

- read ECRI's "The Best Way to Use the Weekly Leading Index (WLI)"

For a closer look at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below:    

Click here to review ECRI’s track record, including client report excerpts.

For more information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

Related News & Events

Global Economy's Wile E. Coyote Moment

Bloomberg March 9, 2018

Groupthink on synchronized global growth upturn in danger of being blindsided by cyclical downturn getting underway. More


Jobless Rate Consistent with Slowdown

ECRI March 9, 2018

The unemployment rate has been drifting up, conforming to the economic slowdown that ECRI flagged earlier. More


Interview on Jobs and Global Growth

Reuters March 9, 2018

ECRI's Achuthan talks with Reuters about the jobs report and slowing international GDP growth. More


Trade Sanctions and Global Slowdown

Bloomberg March 6, 2018

ECRI’s Achuthan on the slow recognition of the global slowdown, trade sanctions and monetary policy. More


Bond quality spread confirming looming economic slowdown

CNBC February 13, 2018

ECRI sees 2018 economic slowdown on tap, and bond market quality spreads agree. More


27th Annual Minsky Conference

Levy Economics Institute April 17, 2018

On April 17, Lakshman Achuthan will present at the Levy Institute's 27th Annual Minsky Conference.