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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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"Eyes Wide Open," but the Fed is Just Staring at the Stars


Lakshman Achuthan on CNBC’s Closing Bell to discuss ECRI’s public outlook.

See recent ECRI posts on the topics covered in today's interview for more details.

- Inflation Cycles Down as Fed Stays Starstruck

- Cycle Turns & Equity Corrections

- A Growing Economy Can Be Mauled By a Bear Market

Click here to review ECRI’s recent track record.
 
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Related News & Events

Turning Points in Global Growth & Market Risk

Bloomberg January 28, 2019

Global economic growth continues to slow, as ECRI correctly called a year ago, but no recession imminent. More

 

Updating Stock Price Corrections Call

CNBC January 26, 2019

ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan shares an update on our cyclical risk of stock price corrections call. More

 

A Growing Economy Can Be Mauled By a Bear Market

Market Watch December 20, 2018

5 bear markets since World War II have occurred when economic growth was positive, but decelerating. More

 

Cycle Turns & Equity Corrections

ECRI December 17, 2018

Our earlier warning of elevated stock price correction risks will stay in place until ECRI’s leading indexes see the slowdown ending. More

 

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