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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Slips


U.S. inflationary pressures were down in September, as the U.S. future inflation gauge fell to 101.0 from an unrevised August 101.9 reading, according to data released Friday morning by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

“While staying above March’s 16-month low, the USFIG is well below its earlier highs,” ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release. “Thus, underlying inflation pressures continue to be quite muted."

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