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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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ECRI Inflation Gauge Rises


U.S. inflationary pressures were up in July, as the U.S. future inflation gauge grew to 101.2 from an revised June 100.8 reading, first reported as 100.5, according to data released Friday morning by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

"Having increased in July, the USFIG has risen further above March's 16-month low," ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release. "However, it still stands well below its earlier highs, indicating that underlying inflation pressures are relatively restrained."

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