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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Increases


Click here to download ECRI WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate. On mobile, click here to go to ECRI's Reports & Indexes page, then click "Full Site."

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ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) increased to 148.1 and its growth rate rose to 0.2%.



ECRI has long determined business cycle and growth rate cycle chronologies for 21 countries that can be freely accessed here.

The WLI is just one of many ECRI U.S. leading indexes, including some with longer leads over cyclical turning points in economic growth.

Please see links below for public statements ECRI has made about our cyclical outlook:

- Real Vision Interview with ECRI's Achuthan "Full RV Interview: ECRI Slowdown Call, Process & Current Outlook"

- Read "GDP Data Tells You Nothing About Recession Risk"

- CNBC TV Interview with ECRI's Achuthan "The Canary in the Semiconductor-chip Fab"

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below.        



Click here to review ECRI’s recent real-time track record.

For information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

Follow @businesscycle on Twitter.

Related News & Events

Full RV Interview: ECRI Slowdown Call, Process & Current Outlook

Real Vision TV March 30, 2019

30-minute interview on ECRI’s 2018 slowdown call, our process, and updates to our outlook. More