Click here to download WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate.

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ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) ticked up to 159.5, a record high. The growth rate edged down to 23.5%.
                  

ECRI has long determined business cycle and growth rate cycle chronologies for 22 countries that can be freely accessed here.

The WLI is one of many ECRI U.S. leading indexes, including some with longer leads over cyclical turning points in economic growth.

Please see below for public statements ECRI has made about our cyclical outlook:

3/ Notably, the USFIG signaled the current inflation cycle upturn well before inflation became a serious concern in the markets. Would you like to know more? https://t.co/GcO1r1SiQ8 pic.twitter.com/nHLyPJknUB

— Lakshman Achuthan (@businesscycle) May 27, 2021

2/ In the summer of 2018 there had been a 4% GDP print and the jobless rate had dropped to a half-century low. But unbeknownst to both the Fed and the markets, the inflation cycle was already in a downturn. Here’s how we knew that in real time. More here: https://t.co/GcO1r1SiQ8 pic.twitter.com/VOYsgwv5KH

— Lakshman Achuthan (@businesscycle) May 27, 2021

1/ You don’t have to play along with the dominant paradigm about inflation within the Fed and on Wall Street. As this chart shows, monitoring the USFIG in order to manage cycle risk can be pretty profitable. https://t.co/GcO1r1SiQ8 pic.twitter.com/J7qJNW3xMb

— Lakshman Achuthan (@businesscycle) May 27, 2021

For a quick glance at the WLI’s recent performance, please see the chart below.
       

The Best Way to Use the Weekly Leading Index (WLI)

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