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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Increases


Click here to download ECRI WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate. On mobile, click here to go to ECRI's Reports & Indexes page, then click "Full Site."
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ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) increased to 146.2 while the growth rate rose to -1.2%.              
      


ECRI has long determined business cycle and growth rate cycle chronologies for 21 countries that can be freely accessed here.

The WLI is one of many ECRI U.S. leading indexes, including some with longer leads over cyclical turning points in economic growth.

Please see links below for public statements ECRI has made about our cyclical outlook:

- CNBC Interview with ECRI's Achuthan "Earning Growth Outlook Plunges"

- CNBC Closing Bell with ECRI's Achuthan "Interview: What will the Fed do?"

- Bloomberg Radio Interview with ECRI's Achuthan "Monthly Jobs Surveys May Overshoot Gains"

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below.         



Click here to review ECRI’s recent real-time track record.

For information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

Follow @businesscycle on Twitter and on LinkedIn.

Related News & Events

Interview: What will the Fed do?

CNBC July 8, 2019

"Elephant in the room" remains the inflation cycle downturn. More

 

Monthly Jobs Surveys May Overshoot Gains

Bloomberg July 8, 2019

Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg Radio to discuss ECRI's latest opinion piece. More

 

US-China Feud Is Accelerating The Biggest Shift In Trade Since The Cold War, Away From Globalisation

South China Morning Post July 6, 2019

Trend described as ‘deglobalisation’ and ‘balkanisation’ is leading to shorter supply chains as companies try to keep up with more sophisticated consumer demand. More

 

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