News

Weekly Leading Index Increases

Click here to download WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate.

On mobile, click here to go to ECRI's Reports & Indexes page, then click "Full Site."
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ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) increased to 141.9, while the growth rate moved up to 7.4%, the highest since February 16, 2018.

ECRI has long determined business cycle and growth rate cycle chronologies for 22 countries that can be freely accessed here.

The WLI is one of many ECRI U.S. leading indexes, including some with longer leads over cyclical turning points in economic growth.

Please see below for public statements ECRI has made about our cyclical outlook:

MacroVoices @ErikSTownsend and @PatrickCeresna welcome Lakshman Achuthan @businesscycle to the show to talk about why he sees an inflation cycle on the near horizon, where we stand in the economic cycle and the outlook for markets.https://t.co/Fn6xuR66Df pic.twitter.com/bNL69WYul6
— MacroVoices Podcast (@MacroVoices) November 13, 2020

Still short of Great-Recession lows, the Covid recession jobs recovery has slowed a bit more. pic.twitter.com/4yIsVoXAuj
— Lakshman Achuthan (@businesscycle) November 6, 2020

"Lakshman Achuthan, co-founder of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, who considers leading indicators to assess where the economy is headed, said no matter who wins, the economy is unlikely to fall into a recession in the next two quarters." For more:https://t.co/1Omj4xVblU
— Lakshman Achuthan (@businesscycle) November 6, 2020

Highlight: Lower-income households "don't make up all that much of consumer spending... when compared to what the upper half of the households are consuming," @businesscycle says. "That's the lion's share of consumer spending." More: pic.twitter.com/mk88hLjPfC
— Yahoo Finance (@YahooFinance) October 28, 2020

For a quick glance at the WLI’s recent performance, please see the chart below.