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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Increases


Click here to download ECRI WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate. On mobile, click here to go to ECRI's Reports & Indexes page, then click "Full Site."
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ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) increased to 144.2 as its growth rate edged up to -4.0%.            
      


ECRI has long determined business cycle and growth rate cycle chronologies for 21 countries that can be freely accessed here.

The WLI is just one of many ECRI U.S. leading indexes, including some with longer leads over cyclical turning points in economic growth.

Please see links below for public statements ECRI has made about our cyclical outlook:

- Read "ECRI Indexes Lead Global PMI"

- BNN Bloomberg TV interview with ECRI's Achuthan “China Slowing Hits Commodity Exporters

- Bloomberg TV interview with ECRI's Achuthan “Turning Points in Global Growth & Market Risk

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below.        



Click here to review ECRI’s recent real-time track record.

For information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

Related News & Events

ECRI Indexes Lead Global PMI

ECRI February 6, 2019

Because ECRI leading indexes turn before the PMIs that shape the consensus, they are key to managing cycle risk. More

 

China Slowing Hits Commodity Exporters

BNN Bloomberg February 5, 2019

ECRI’s Achuthan discusses commodity price inflation and the latest Chinese industrial outlook. More

 

Cycles, the Fed & Recession Risk

Yahoo January 30, 2019

ECRI's Achuthan discusses our cycle work, and how the reality of and how the Fed and recession risk. More

 

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