A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



Weekly Leading Index Falls Again

ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) decreased to 142.4 as WLI growth declined further to -5.3%, approaching a seven-year low.

On desktop click here to download WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate.

On mobile click here to go to ECRI's Reports & Indexes page, then click the "Full Site" link to download the data.     

The WLI is just one of many ECRI leading indexes, including some with longer leads over cyclical turning points in economic growth.

For more on ECRI’s cyclical outlook, please see links below to information that we have made public:

- read ECRI's "2018 Cycle Calls"

- read ECRI's latest op-ed "A Growing Economy Can Be Mauled By a Bear Market"

- watch ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan interview on "Global Slowdown, Trade War and the Fed’s Belated Blink" on CNBC

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below:       

Click here to review ECRI’s recent real-time track record.

For more information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

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