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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Edges Up


Click here to download ECRI WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate. On mobile, click here to go to ECRI's Reports & Indexes page, then click "Full Site."
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ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) edged up to 144.4 while its growth rate decreased to -1.9%.              
      


ECRI has long determined business cycle and growth rate cycle chronologies for 21 countries that can be freely accessed here.

The WLI is one of many ECRI U.S. leading indexes, including some with longer leads over cyclical turning points in economic growth.

Please see links below for public statements ECRI has made about our cyclical outlook:

- Bloomberg Interview with ECRI's Achuthan "U.S. Inflation Cycle and More China Stimulus"

- CNBC Interview with ECRI's Achuthan "Inflation, the Fed and the FIG"

- MACRO Voices Interview with ECRI's Achuthan "Podcast: the “Late Cycle” Myth & More"

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below.         



Click here to review ECRI’s recent real-time track record.

For information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

Follow @businesscycle on Twitter and on LinkedIn.

Related News & Events

U.S. Inflation Cycle and More China Stimulus

Bloomberg June 10, 2019

ECRI’s Achuthan spoke with Bloomberg Daybreak Asia about ECRI’s inflation cycle research, how global slowing preceded the trade war, and why more Chinese stimulus is likely. More

 

Inflation, the Fed and the FIG

CNBC June 7, 2019

The Fed and the bond market have both been way behind the curve in anticipating the inflation cycle downturn. ECRI’s U.S. Future Inflation Gauge was far more prescient. More

 

Business Cycle’s Demise Greatly Exaggerated

Mauldin Economics SIC May 20, 2019

Business cycles remain part and parcel of every market-oriented economy. More

 

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