Contact

News

 

Weekly Leading Index Decreases


Click here to download ECRI WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate. On mobile, click here to go to ECRI's Reports & Indexes page, then click "Full Site."
__________________________________________

ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) decreased to 144.0 while the growth rate declined to -0.5%.              
      


ECRI has long determined business cycle and growth rate cycle chronologies for 21 countries that can be freely accessed here.

The WLI is one of many ECRI U.S. leading indexes, including some with longer leads over cyclical turning points in economic growth.

Please see links below for public statements ECRI has made about our cyclical outlook:

- Read ECRI's "Recession Risk, Rate Cuts and the Future Inflation Gauge"

- Read ECRI's "PMIs Have Not Bottomed Yet"

- Read ECRI's "The Elephant in the Room Forcing the Fed Rate Cut"

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below.         



Click here to review ECRI’s recent real-time track record.

For information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

Follow @businesscycle on Twitter and on LinkedIn.

Related News & Events

Recession Risk, Rate Cuts and the Future Inflation Gauge

ECRI August 14, 2019

Recession risk is determined not by when the Fed stops rate hikes, but by when it starts a rate cut cycle. More

 

PMIs Have Not Bottomed Yet

ECRI August 1, 2019

ECRI leading index of PMIs predicts cyclical turns in the ISM and Markit U.S. manufacturing PMIs. More

 

The Elephant in the Room Forcing the Fed Rate Cut

ECRI July 31, 2019

The inflation cycle downturn leaves the Fed with no option but to cut rates. More

 

Interview: Using Data to Answer the Recession Question

Real Vision TV July 17, 2019

Highlights of Real Vision discussion on our 2018 downturn call and updated public outlook. More