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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Decreases


Click here to download ECRI WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate. On mobile, click here to go to ECRI's Reports & Indexes page, then click "Full Site."
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ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) decreased to 144.1 while its growth rate fell to -1.3%.              
      


ECRI has long determined business cycle and growth rate cycle chronologies for 21 countries that can be freely accessed here.

The WLI is one of many ECRI U.S. leading indexes, including some with longer leads over cyclical turning points in economic growth.

Please see links below for public statements ECRI has made about our cyclical outlook:

- MACRO Voices Interview with ECRI's Achuthan "Podcast: the “Late Cycle” Myth & More"

- YAHOO Finance Interview with ECRI's Achuthan "Disinflation: The Elephant in the Room"

- Read our 2019 Strategic Investment Conference presentation "Business Cycle’s Demise Greatly Exaggerated"

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below.         



Click here to review ECRI’s recent real-time track record.

For information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

Follow @businesscycle on Twitter and on LinkedIn.

Related News & Events

U.S. Inflation Cycle and More China Stimulus

Bloomberg June 10, 2019

ECRI’s Achuthan spoke with Bloomberg Daybreak Asia about ECRI’s inflation cycle research, how global slowing preceded the trade war, and why more Chinese stimulus is likely. More

 

Podcast: the “Late Cycle” Myth & More

Macro Voices May 31, 2019

ECRI’s Achuthan joined MacroVoices to discuss how “late cycle” analysis falls short and where we are in the current business and inflation cycles (two different things). More

 

Interview: Disinflation is the Elephant in the Room

Yahoo May 31, 2019

ECRI’s Achuthan joined Yahoo Finance to discuss the drop in yields and more. More

 

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