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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Decreases


Click here to download ECRI WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate. On mobile, click here to go to ECRI's Reports & Indexes page, then click "Full Site."
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ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) decreased to 147.0 while the growth rate ticked up to 1.4%.              
      


ECRI has long determined business cycle and growth rate cycle chronologies for 21 countries that can be freely accessed here.

The WLI is just one of many ECRI U.S. leading indexes, including some with longer leads over cyclical turning points in economic growth.

Please see links below for public statements ECRI has made about our cyclical outlook:

- CNBC TV Interview with ECRI's Achuthan "Market Optimism and the Hard Data"

- Read "Inflation Downturn Signals and Rate Cuts"

- Read our Levy Economics Institute Minsky Conference presentation "Probing Powell’s Patience"

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below.        



Click here to review ECRI’s recent real-time track record.

For information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

Follow @businesscycle on Twitter and on LinkedIn.

Related News & Events

Market Optimism and the Hard Data

CNBC April 25, 2019

ECRI's Achuthan joins CNBC to discuss the U.S. slowdown and how the hard economic data shows slowing growth. More

 

Probing Powell’s Patience

Levy Economics Institute April 18, 2019

ECRI presentation slides discuss the Fed’s review of its monetary policy approach in the context of Powell’s view of the Greenspan Fed. More

 

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