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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up


ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) ticked up to 145.2, while WLI growth edges down to -4.1%. 
       


The WLI is just one of many ECRI leading indexes, including some with longer leads over economic cycle turns.

For more on ECRI’s cyclical outlook, please see links below to ECRI information that has made public:

- read ECRI's "Falling Growth in Hours Worked"

- read ECRI's "Oil Price Plunge Foretold by Commodity Price Slide"

- read ECRI's "Construction Crumbling"

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below:     



Click here to review ECRI’s recent track record.

For more information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

Related News & Events

Upcoming TV Interview

CNBC December 7, 2018

ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be a guest on CNBC's Closing Bell today, December 7 at 4:00pm.

 

Falling Growth in Hours Worked

ECRI December 7, 2018

The slowdown ECRI flagged in the spring is coming into focus. More

 

Oil Price Plunge Foretold by Commodity Price Slide

ECRI November 30, 2018

As usual, the recent collapse in oil prices followed a cyclical downturn in industrial commodity price inflation. More

 

Interview Updating Market Correction Call

CNBC November 8, 2018

The cyclical risk of stock market corrections remains elevated as U.S. economic growth continues to slow. More

 

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