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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up


ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) ticked up to 145.1, while WLI growth slipped to -4.0%. 
       


The WLI is just one of many ECRI leading indexes, including some with longer leads over economic cycle turns.

For more on ECRI’s cyclical outlook, please see links below to ECRI information that has made public:

- read ECRI's "Construction Crumbling"

- watch ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discuss equity correction risk on CNBC

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below:     



Click here to review ECRI’s recent track record.

For more information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

Related News & Events

ECRI in London

ECRI December 17, 2018

ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be meeting with clients in London from December 17 - 18.

 

Interview Updating Market Correction Call

CNBC November 8, 2018

The cyclical risk of stock market corrections remains elevated as U.S. economic growth continues to slow. More

 

Damned Lies and Statistics

Mauldin Economics October 23, 2018

With GDP growth over 4% and the jobless rate under 4% people feel pretty good, but the last two times we saw this combination, in 2000 and way back in 1969, a recession was less than a year away. More

 

U.S. Not Immune to Global Slowdown

Bloomberg October 23, 2018

The U.S. economy is not as resilient as the headlines suggest, as a number of cycle downturns become clear, including home price growth and broad inflation. More

 

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