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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down


ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) ticked down to 147.0, while WLI growth decreased to -0.4%. 
       


For more on ECRI’s cyclical outlook, please see links below to other ECRI information that has been made public:

- watch ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan in a recent interview on Bloomberg TV
 
- read ECRI's current "Damned Lies and Statistics" article in Mauldin Economics

- listen to ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan in a podcast interview with Grant's Interest Rate Observer

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below:     



Click here to review ECRI’s recent track record.

For more information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

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Economic Cycles & Stock Price Corrections

ECRI October 24, 2018

With at least one equity price correction during every economic slowdown, knowing where you are in the economic cycle is critical to managing portfolio risk. More

 

Damned Lies and Statistics

Mauldin Economics October 23, 2018

With GDP growth over 4% and the jobless rate under 4% people feel pretty good, but the last two times we saw this combination, in 2000 and way back in 1969, a recession was less than a year away. More

 

U.S. Not Immune to Global Slowdown

Bloomberg October 23, 2018

The U.S. economy is not as resilient as the headlines suggest, as a number of cycle downturns become clear, including home price growth and broad inflation. More

 

ECRI’s Inflation Downturn Call

Grant's October 16, 2018

Achuthan joined Grant’s podcast to discuss ECRI’s cyclical worldview on inflation, home prices, EM and more. More

 

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