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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Increases


ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) increased to 146.2, while WLI growth ticked up to -3.9%. 
       


The WLI is just one of many ECRI leading indexes, including some with longer leads over economic cycle turns.

For more on ECRI’s cyclical outlook, please see links below to ECRI information that has been made public:

- watch ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan in a recent interview on "Global Slowdown,Trade War and the Fed’s Belated Blink" on CNBC

- read ECRI's "Inflation Cycles Down as Fed Stays Starstruck"

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below:    



Click here to review ECRI’s recent track record.

For more information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

Related News & Events

Inflation Cycles Down as Fed Stays Starstruck

ECRI December 13, 2018

Oblivious of the ongoing inflation cycle downturn, the Fed is still navigating “by the stars.” More

 

Inflation is Cyclical

CNBC December 12, 2018

ECRI joins CNBC to discuss how most don’t understand that inflation is cyclical, and how that impacts the debate around Fed rate hike expectations. More

 

Global Slowdown,Trade War and the Fed’s Belated Blink

CNBC December 7, 2018

ECRI's Achuthan discusses the ongoing economic slowdown and inflation cycle downturn that the consensus is now catching up to. More

 

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