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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Decreases


ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) decreased to 144.9, while WLI growth edged down to -3.7%. 
       


The WLI is just one of many ECRI leading indexes, including some with longer leads over economic cycle turns.

For more on ECRI’s cyclical outlook, please see links below to ECRI information that has made public:

- read ECRI's "Construction Crumbling"

- watch ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discuss equity correction risk on CNBC

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below:     



Click here to review ECRI’s recent track record.

For more information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

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ECRI in London

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ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be meeting with clients in London from December 17 - 18.

 

Interview Updating Market Correction Call

CNBC November 8, 2018

The cyclical risk of stock market corrections remains elevated as U.S. economic growth continues to slow. More

 

Why Trump May Be Right About the Fed

Barron's October 27, 2018

“The biggest risk is the Fed,” President Trump charged again last week. Meanwhile, ECRI analysis points “It’s a full-blown downturn, pointing to a further decline in inflation pressures.” More

 

Debt Alarm Ringing

Mauldin Economics October 26, 2018

The combined debt of the US, Eurozone, Japan, and China has increased more than ten times as much as their combined GDP growth over the past year. More

 

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