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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Decreases


ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) decreased to 146.1, while WLI growth fell to -1.4%. 
       


For more on ECRI’s cyclical outlook, please see links below to other ECRI information that has been made public:

- watch ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan in a interview on Bloomberg TV
 
- read ECRI's current "Damned Lies and Statistics" article in Mauldin Economics

For a quick glance at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below:     



Click here to review ECRI’s recent track record.

For more information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

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As usual, the recent collapse in oil prices followed a cyclical downturn in industrial commodity price inflation. More

 

Construction Crumbling

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Why Trump May Be Right About the Fed

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“The biggest risk is the Fed,” President Trump charged again last week. Meanwhile, ECRI analysis points “It’s a full-blown downturn, pointing to a further decline in inflation pressures.” More

 

Debt Alarm Ringing

Mauldin Economics October 26, 2018

The combined debt of the US, Eurozone, Japan, and China has increased more than ten times as much as their combined GDP growth over the past year. More

 

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