News
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Apr 04 2020
A Nasty, Short and Bitter Recession
While we all appreciate the urgency of reopening the economy, saving lives is a precondition for saving livelihoods. More
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Apr 03 2020
Weekly Leading Index Drops
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate plummets to -26.9%. More
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Mar 27 2020
Weekly Leading Index Worst Since Great Recession
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate plummets to -15.5%. More
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Mar 20 2020
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases to -4.4%. More
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Mar 17 2020
Fed's Latest Rate Cut Was a Useless and Desperate Move
Cascading closures across the economy will necessarily cause a breakdown in demand. More
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Mar 13 2020
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls to -0.5%. More
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Mar 12 2020
School Closures Are Starting, And They’ll Have Far-Reaching Economic Impacts
School closures might hurt the economy, but keeping them open could make things worse. More
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Mar 06 2020
The Fed's Emergency Rate Cut Was A Big Mistake
Our research shows that the US economy came into this epidemic in more resilient cyclical shape than most realize. More
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Mar 06 2020
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases to 1.2%. More
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Mar 05 2020
Impact of Mass School Closings
Discussion on how mass school closings would effect the economy if they come to pass. More
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Mar 03 2020
We're on the Road to Japanification
Oblivious of the economy’s current cyclical resilience, the Fed cut rates today, depleting the precious ammo it will need when recession truly threatens. More
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Feb 28 2020
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index edges up, but growth rate falls further to 2.6%. More
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Feb 21 2020
A Predictable Pratfall
Yet again, ECRI’s Japanese Leading Index correctly flags a recession, in this case well ahead of the tax hike and coronavirus concerns. More
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Feb 21 2020
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls to 3.8%. More
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Feb 14 2020
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases to 4.8%. More
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Feb 07 2020
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate is little change at 5.9%. More
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Jan 28 2020
Coronavirus Impact on Commodity Price Outlook
Industrial commodity price inflation, which had been pretty beaten down, started a cyclical upturn some months ago. More
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Jan 24 2020
Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 5.2%. More
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Jan 22 2020
Hard Data Defies Confident Consensus
Weakening sales trends and wage growth underscore a sustained slowdown in spending. More
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Jan 17 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 4.4%. More
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