News
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Jan 06 2022
Interview on Inflation, The Fed & Recession Risks
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the inflation cycle, the Fed and recession risks. More
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Dec 18 2021
Fed Risks Policy Mistake
Either the Fed pivots yet again to turn more dovish next year, or it stays the course and something breaks – meaning serious recession risk. More
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Dec 10 2021
Inflation and Consumer Spending Update
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance discussing inflation and consumer spending. More
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Dec 03 2021
Jobs Growth Trending Down
Jobs growth continues its clear downtrend. More
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Dec 02 2021
Growth Slowdowns and Markets
Slowdowns in economic growth see a flattening in the Dow and Russell 2000 punctuated by sharp spikes down. More
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Nov 24 2021
Checking In on Inflation
One of the most interesting things about cycles is that they turn, always. More
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Nov 18 2021
Consumer Spending Cools Off
In sharp contrast to the prevailing optimism, ECRI analysis shows consumer spending is in a cyclical slowdown that will weigh on holiday sales. More
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Nov 17 2021
Contrarian Call Suggests Consumers Are In Trouble This Holiday Season
“There’s still this narrative that the rebound is there,” the Economic Cycle Research Institute co-founder told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Wednesday. More
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Nov 09 2021
Checking In on China
ECRI's Achuthan shares thoughts on recent events in Chinese growth and inflation. More
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Oct 19 2021
Proactive Decision Making
ECRI’s framework for monitoring economic cycles gives us much greater foresight and unwavering conviction, without being jerked around by shifting narratives. More
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Oct 08 2021
Job Growth Eases
Job growth has eased in line with our earlier call. More
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Sep 17 2021
Downturn In The Global Industrial Economy
A lot of people are excited about the runup in commodities. We’re saying directionally you got to look the other way. More
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Sep 17 2021
Cooling Commodity Currencies
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's discussion on CNBC Trading Nation on global industrial slowdown call and industrial commodity price inflation. More
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Sep 15 2021
What would Lee Iacocca do?
Companies are routinely blindsided by cyclical changes in the direction of growth that aren’t really Black Swans. More
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Sep 10 2021
Slowdown, Dead Ahead!
Deep dive into where we are now in the business cycle. More
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Sep 10 2021
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips. More
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Sep 09 2021
Managing Equity Market Risk
It’s important to understand that major corrections are linked to cyclical downturns in economic growth. More
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Sep 07 2021
Monitoring Cycles To Manage Risk
Watch our webinar about our U.S. slowdown call, including lots of Q&A. More
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Sep 03 2021
Cyclical Dynamics in Recovery
We know what happens following recovery from deep recessions. More
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Sep 03 2021
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines. More
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