News
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Feb 21 2020
A Predictable Pratfall
Yet again, ECRI’s Japanese Leading Index correctly flags a recession, in this case well ahead of the tax hike and coronavirus concerns. More
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Feb 21 2020
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls to 3.8%. More
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Feb 14 2020
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases to 4.8%. More
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Feb 07 2020
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate is little change at 5.9%. More
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Jan 28 2020
Coronavirus Impact on Commodity Price Outlook
Industrial commodity price inflation, which had been pretty beaten down, started a cyclical upturn some months ago. More
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Jan 24 2020
Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 5.2%. More
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Jan 22 2020
Hard Data Defies Confident Consensus
Weakening sales trends and wage growth underscore a sustained slowdown in spending. More
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Jan 17 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 4.4%. More
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Jan 16 2020
Global Industrial Growth Supports Commodities
Industrial commodity price inflation, which is still pretty beaten down, is starting a cyclical upturn on the back of better global industrial growth. More
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Jan 16 2020
Upside for Industrial Commodity Inflation
Cyclical upturn in industrial commodity inflation. More
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Jan 13 2020
Interview on Jobs and Markets
Growth in total hours worked has slowed to its weakest reading since 2010. More
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Jan 10 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 3.3%. More
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Jan 03 2020
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down to 2.3%. More
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Dec 31 2019
Understanding Cycles
RealVision discussion on ECRI’s process and updates to the public outlook. More
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Dec 24 2019
2019 Private Cycle Calls in Review
See how the year unfolded for our clients, who were prepared for a continued global growth slowdown, no upturn in U.S. growth and inflation, and the Fed’s collision with the economic cycle. More
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Dec 20 2019
2019 Public Calls in Review
2019 saw a continued global growth slowdown, no upturn in U.S. growth and inflation, and a complete capitulation by the Fed. More
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Dec 20 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate is virtually unchanged at 2.2%. More
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Dec 13 2019
What Makes ECRI Different and Our Updated Public Outlook
RealVision interview on the ECRI process and updates to our public outlook. More
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Dec 13 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down to 2.2%. More
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Dec 06 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 2.4%. More
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