News & Events
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Mar 09 2018
Jobless Rate Consistent with Slowdown
The unemployment rate has been drifting up, conforming to the economic slowdown that ECRI flagged earlier. More
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Mar 09 2018
Interview on Jobs & Global Growth
ECRI's Achuthan talks with Reuters about the jobs report and slowing international GDP growth. More
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Mar 06 2018
Trade Sanctions and Global Slowdown
ECRI's Achuthan on the slow recognition of the global slowdown, trade sanctions and monetary policy. More
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Mar 02 2018
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips in latest update. More
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Feb 16 2018
Q/A on Economic Slowdown Taking Hold
The implications of rising rates are more worrisome than realized by most people who are missing ECRI's 2018 slowdown call. More
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Feb 13 2018
Bond quality spread confirming looming economic slowdown
ECRI sees 2018 economic slowdown on tap, and bond market quality spreads agree. More
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Feb 09 2018
Financial Sense
Extended Interview on ECRI's Cyclical Outlook
ECRI's Achuthan talks with Financial Sense about the outlook for growth, inflation, wages, and more. More
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Feb 09 2018
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises in latest update. More
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Feb 02 2018
Up is Down: Jump in AHE Growth Confirms Economic Slowdown
January wage growth jumped for an unwelcome reason: growth in hours fell faster than pay growth. More
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Jan 25 2018
Trump's Tax Cuts Won't Offset the Impending Slowdown
Everyone's too optimistic about 2018. More
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Jan 22 2018
Cyclical Outlook Diverges from Headlines
Our research shows most are looking the wrong way on economic growth. More
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Jan 19 2018
Weekly Leading Index Rises
Latest U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases. More
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Jan 05 2018
Jobs Report and 2018 Slowdown
Reuters interview discussing the Dec. jobs report, as well as ECRI's view on cycles in economic growth, including a U.S. slowdown in 2018. More
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Jan 05 2018
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
Today's U.S. Weekly Leading Index update showed its growth rate virtually unchanged. More
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Dec 13 2017
Tell-Tale Spreads Confirm Slowdown Ahead
The bond market, like ECRI's leading indexes, sees an impending slowdown. More
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Dec 08 2017
Jobs, Bonds and the Economy
ECRI's Achuthan talks with Reuters' "Trading at Noon" about the jobs report. More
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Dec 08 2017
Weekly Leading Index Rises
Latest U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up. More
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Dec 07 2017
Tax Cuts May Hit Economy as it Slows
ECRI's forward-looking indicators point to "a slowdown that most don't see coming." More
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Dec 01 2017
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
Latest U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate virtually unchanged. More
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Nov 22 2017
China Data Disappoints, As ECRI Expected
Markets were disappointed by Chinese data this week, but ECRI's September reporting warned of this very outcome. More
Testimonial
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms. Oct. 2011
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation-. The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
This approach works like a charm.
