News & Events
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Aug 31 2018
Will the Flattening Yield Curve Lead to Recession?
In contrast to the latest robust GDP readings, ECRI’s broader U.S. Coincident Index is below last October’s peak. More
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Aug 31 2018
Managing the Risk of Equity Corrections
ECRI's Achuthan on CNBC to discuss how equity correction risk rises during cyclical slowdowns in economic growth. More
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Aug 03 2018
Outsized Gains for Least Educated Limits Wage Growth
The Employment/Population ratio for those without a high school diploma has never been higher. More
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Jul 27 2018
Trump Cheers ’Amazing’ Economic Growth as Economists Caution It Could Be a Blip
"The bottom line takeaway is that this growth is not sustainable and it will slow in the second half of the year," said Lakshman Achuthan. More
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Jul 17 2018
Stealth Slowdown Unfolding
The U.S. consumer is under pressure, and it’s getting worse. More
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Jul 06 2018
Jobs Report, GDP, and the Fed
ECRI's Achuthan joined Reuters TV to discuss the jobs report, including the employment/population ratio, as well as industrial commodities, GDP and the Fed. More
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Jul 06 2018
Trade War and Recession Risk
ECRI’s Achuthan joined Bloomberg TV to discuss global trade and recession risk, the Fed and industrial commodities. More
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Jul 03 2018
Oil Diverges from Other Industrial Commodities
Lakshman Achuthan joined BNN Bloomberg to discuss ECRI’s insights into recent moves in commodity prices and the global slowdown. More
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Jun 26 2018
Unusual Divergence in Commodities Spotlights Global Slowdown
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses industrial commodity prices in the context of a global slowdown on CNBC. More
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Jun 20 2018
Monetary Policy Minutes Include ECRI
Minutes of the June 2018 RBI monetary policy committee meeting. More
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May 22 2018
A Stealth Slowdown
The rise in inflation and interest rates is masking an economic slowdown. More
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May 04 2018
Jobs Report: Good & Bad News
Reuters talks with ECRI's Achuthan about slowing jobs growth. More
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May 01 2018
How to Avoid Being Blindsided By the Business Cycle
Highlights from RealVision discussion on the business cycle and the risk of a global recession. More
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Apr 26 2018
Interview: Deglobalization and the Fed
ECRI’s Achuthan on a structural retreat of globalization, trade and the Fed. More
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Apr 25 2018
Analytical Approach and the Current Slowdown
ECRI's analytical approach and how today it shows the fourth slowdown in U.S. growth since the financial crisis. More
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Apr 20 2018
Levy Economics Institute
Are We Really "Normalizing?"
The danger of confusing cyclical with structural: see slide deck with notes. More
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Apr 20 2018
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth edges down in latest update. More
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Apr 09 2018
The Dog that Didn't Bark
Unemployment is flat, yet it should be falling if the economy is as strong as most assume. More
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Mar 09 2018
Global Economy's Wile E. Coyote Moment
Groupthink on synchronized global growth upturn in danger of being blindsided by cyclical downturn getting underway. More
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Mar 09 2018
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down in latest update. More
Testimonial
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
