News & Events
-
Jan 28 2019
Turning Points in Global Growth & Market Risk
Global economic growth continues to slow, as ECRI correctly called a year ago, but no recession imminent. More
-
Jan 26 2019
Updating Stock Price Corrections Call
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan shares an update on our cyclical risk of stock price corrections call. More
-
Jan 25 2019
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -5.3%. More
-
Jan 17 2019
Interview: The Fed, Markets, Growth & Inflation
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan discussed our outlook for growth and inflation along with a discussion on markets and the Fed’s December blink. More
-
Jan 11 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
While ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index level rose, its smoothed growth rate fell further to -6.5%. More
-
Jan 04 2019
Colliding With the Economic Cycle – Again
As in 2016, the Fed’s rate hike plans have been on a collision course with the economic cycle. ECRI saw it coming. More
-
Jan 04 2019
Weekly Leading Index Falls Again
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines further to -5.3%. More
-
Jan 02 2019
ECRI Industrial Price Index Continues to Drop
ECRI’s industrial price index is a critical tool for monitoring the risk of cycle turns in commodity price inflation. More
-
Dec 31 2018
2018 Cycle Calls
ECRI’s 2018 real-time track record and a look at what comes next. More
-
Dec 28 2018
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines to -4.4%. More
-
Dec 21 2018
"Eyes Wide Open," but the Fed is Just Staring at the Stars
ECRI joins CNBC to discuss the ongoing cyclical downturns in economic growth and inflation, and future Fed rate hikes. More
-
Dec 21 2018
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate was unchanged at -3.9%. More
-
Dec 20 2018
A Growing Economy Can Be Mauled By a Bear Market
5 bear markets since World War II have occurred when economic growth was positive, but decelerating. More
-
Dec 19 2018
RBI’s MPC Minutes and ECRI
Growth in the Indian Leading Index, a predictor of the direction of Indian economic growth maintained by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), New York, has risen lately. More
-
Dec 18 2018
The Telegraph
Credit Markets Signal Recession in Early 2019
“Fed policy is too tight given that inflation peaked in July. They overstayed their welcome.” More
-
Dec 17 2018
Cycle Turns & Equity Corrections
Our earlier warning of elevated stock price correction risks will stay in place until ECRI’s leading indexes see the slowdown ending. More
-
Dec 14 2018
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks up to -3.9%. More
-
Dec 13 2018
What the Fed is Getting Wrong
The Fed and many market participants don’t really understand that inflation is cyclical. More
-
Dec 13 2018
Inflation Cycles Down as Fed Stays Starstruck
Oblivious of the ongoing inflation cycle downturn, the Fed is still navigating “by the stars.” More
-
Dec 12 2018
Inflation is Cyclical
ECRI joins CNBC to discuss how most don’t understand that inflation is cyclical, and how that impacts the debate around Fed rate hike expectations. More
Testimonial
This approach works like a charm.
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
