News & Events
-
May 31 2019
Podcast: the “Late Cycle” Myth & More
ECRI’s Achuthan joined MacroVoices to discuss how “late cycle” analysis falls short and where we are in the current business and inflation cycles (two different things). More
-
May 31 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index slips as its growth edges down to -0.3%. More
-
May 31 2019
Interview: Disinflation is the Elephant in the Room
ECRI’s Achuthan joined Yahoo Finance to discuss the drop in yields and more. More
-
May 24 2019
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index falls as its growth ticks down to 0.0%. More
-
May 20 2019
Business Cycle’s Demise Greatly Exaggerated
Business cycles remain part and parcel of every market-oriented economy. More
-
May 17 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index edged down as its growth decreases to 0.2%. More
-
Apr 26 2019
Industrial Commodities and the Canadian Loonie
ECRI’s Achuthan discusses global growth prospects, commodity price inflation and the Canadian loonie. More
-
Apr 26 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks up to 1.4%. More
-
Apr 25 2019
Market Optimism and the Hard Data
ECRI's Achuthan joins CNBC to discuss the U.S. slowdown and how the hard economic data shows slowing growth. More
-
Apr 18 2019
Levy Economics Institute
Probing Powell’s Patience
ECRI presentation slides discuss the Fed’s review of its monetary policy approach in the context of Powell’s view of the Greenspan Fed. More
-
Apr 18 2019
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 1.2%. More
-
Apr 12 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 0.2%. More
-
Mar 30 2019
Full RV Interview: ECRI Slowdown Call, Process & Current Outlook
30-minute interview on ECRI’s 2018 slowdown call, our process, and updates to our outlook. More
-
Mar 29 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to -1.4%. More
-
Mar 27 2019
GDP Data Tells You Nothing About Recession Risk
GDP data can be very misleading around cycle turning points – especially in the lead-up to recession. More
-
Mar 26 2019
The Telegraph
Don't Get Greedy and Don't Try to Time The Top of This Tired 10-year Bull Market
If semiconductor sales are the canary in the coal mine for the world economy, be careful. More
-
Mar 22 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -2.3%. More
-
Mar 20 2019
Interview: Cycling Into Slowdown
Highlights of Real Vision discussion on our 2018 slowdown call, the ECRI process, ECRI insights, and updates to the outlook. More
-
Mar 16 2019
The Canary in the Semiconductor-chip Fab
ECRI’s leading indexes, which anticipate turning points in semiconductor shipment growth, clearly predicted this collapse. More
-
Mar 15 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -2.9%. More
Testimonial
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
I find that ECRI's historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
(ECRI's) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
Your work stands alone in the industry. I wholeheartedly value and endorse your service!
