News & Events
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Jan 24 2020
Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 5.2%. More
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Jan 22 2020
Hard Data Defies Confident Consensus
Weakening sales trends and wage growth underscore a sustained slowdown in spending. More
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Jan 17 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 4.4%. More
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Jan 16 2020
Global Industrial Growth Supports Commodities
Industrial commodity price inflation, which is still pretty beaten down, is starting a cyclical upturn on the back of better global industrial growth. More
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Jan 16 2020
Upside for Industrial Commodity Inflation
Cyclical upturn in industrial commodity inflation. More
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Jan 13 2020
Interview on Jobs and Markets
Growth in total hours worked has slowed to its weakest reading since 2010. More
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Jan 10 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 3.3%. More
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Jan 03 2020
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down to 2.3%. More
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Dec 31 2019
Understanding Cycles
RealVision discussion on ECRI’s process and updates to the public outlook. More
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Dec 24 2019
2019 Private Cycle Calls in Review
See how the year unfolded for our clients, who were prepared for a continued global growth slowdown, no upturn in U.S. growth and inflation, and the Fed’s collision with the economic cycle. More
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Dec 20 2019
2019 Public Calls in Review
2019 saw a continued global growth slowdown, no upturn in U.S. growth and inflation, and a complete capitulation by the Fed. More
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Dec 20 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate is virtually unchanged at 2.2%. More
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Dec 13 2019
What Makes ECRI Different and Our Updated Public Outlook
RealVision interview on the ECRI process and updates to our public outlook. More
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Dec 13 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down to 2.2%. More
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Dec 06 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 2.4%. More
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Nov 19 2019
Hard Data Decelerating
Hopes of reacceleration predicated on market optimism, but little objective evidence in hard data to support that view. More
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Nov 14 2019
Forecast to Fact: Green Shoots in the Eurozone
Unbeknownst to virtually all, a growth rate cycle upturn was set to take hold in early summer 2019. More
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Nov 11 2019
Forward-Looking Data Up, ECRI Says
Prospects of a global industrial growth upturn. More
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Nov 11 2019
Eurozone Growth Upturn
Interview on ECRI’s early summer call that Eurozone growth would turn up, and how that relates to the prospect of a global industrial growth upturn. More
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Nov 08 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -0.3%. More
Testimonial
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
This approach works like a charm.
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
