News & Events
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Dec 06 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 2.4%. More
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Nov 19 2019
Hard Data Decelerating
Hopes of reacceleration predicated on market optimism, but little objective evidence in hard data to support that view. More
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Nov 14 2019
Forecast to Fact: Green Shoots in the Eurozone
Unbeknownst to virtually all, a growth rate cycle upturn was set to take hold in early summer 2019. More
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Nov 11 2019
Forward-Looking Data Up, ECRI Says
Prospects of a global industrial growth upturn. More
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Nov 11 2019
Eurozone Growth Upturn
Interview on ECRI’s early summer call that Eurozone growth would turn up, and how that relates to the prospect of a global industrial growth upturn. More
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Nov 08 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -0.3%. More
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Nov 01 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down to -0.4%. More
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Oct 24 2019
Don't Blame Global Slowdown on Trade War
Many are misunderstanding the primary cause of the current global slowdown, which means that they'll also miss what's coming next. More
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Oct 09 2019
Consumer Spending Growth Slowing
The downturn in consumer spending growth fits with the jobs growth slowdown. More
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Oct 02 2019
ISM Mfg, Jobs & Consumer
ISM Mfg at worst reading since June 2009 underscores that the slowdown ECRI predicted long ago is worse than analysts expected. More
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Sep 27 2019
Eurozone Looking Better
People are convinced that the Eurozone is going into recession, but our work reveals that’s too pessimistic because it’s too simplistic. More
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Sep 27 2019
Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -0.2%. More
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Sep 25 2019
Japan Recession Risk
While many countries around the world are fighting global trade headwinds, it’s much worse for Japan. More
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Sep 24 2019
Cyclical Upturn in India
From a cyclical perspective India is looking better, with ECRI’s leading indexes showing a trough in the current slowdown. More
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Sep 24 2019
The U.S. Jobs Slowdown is Important
U.S. jobs growth, already at an 8-year low, will keep falling, undermining consumer spending. More
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Sep 23 2019
Industrial Slowdown Grips China and the U.S.
Despite the ups and downs of trade talks, the global industrial growth continues with knock-on effects for China and the U.S. More
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Sep 23 2019
The US Economy Isn't In The Clear. A Recession is Still on The Table
The stock market is once again nearing record highs amid investor hopes that a recession is off the table — at least for now. More
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Sep 20 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -1.5%. More
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Sep 13 2019
An Upturn In India’s Growth Cycle Is In The Offing
The ECRI’s forward-looking leading indicators on India’s economic cycle tell us that there is a bottoming-out of growth that is in the offing. More
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Sep 13 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth edges up to -2.5%. More
Upcoming Events
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Oct07
Upcoming Interview
CNN October 7, 2020
Testimonial
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction - even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that - lead where things were headed.
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock - deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
Your work stands alone in the industry. I wholeheartedly value and endorse your service!
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
"eerily accurate"
