News & Events
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Jan 04 2021
2021 Outlook
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance regarding the outlook for 2021. More
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Dec 31 2020
2021 Look Ahead
We know that the bears are hibernating, but trees don't grow to the sky. More
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Dec 16 2020
2020 Track Record: Covid-19, Shortest Recession, Global Recovery
Updates to ECRI’s 2020 track record, including mandated “short” recessions, recoveries, inflation cycle calls and some fresh slowdowns. More
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Dec 10 2020
Home Price Growth Rising at Fastest Pace Since Early 2000s
Housing is doing something it hasn’t done since the bubble. More
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Dec 07 2020
Business Cycle Dynamics Point the Way Higher
Leading indexes continue to point to a robust recovery and reflation trade. More
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Dec 01 2020
Durability of "Short Recession" and Recovery Call
Discussing the durability of our April "short recession" and recovery call. More
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Nov 13 2020
Podcast: Economic Cycles, Inflation and Recovery Update
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan shares updated cycle research insights, highlighting the inflation cycle and the shape of the recovery. More
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Nov 05 2020
Election Uncertainty Leaves U.S. Economic Rescue Hanging In The Balance
As Americans wait on the final results of the 2020 election, the outcome will have a big effect on the size and timing of any additional economic rescue package. More
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Oct 28 2020
Cyclical Recovery and the U.S. Consumer
Watch interview on ECRI’s outlook regarding the cyclical economic recovery and the U.S. consumer. More
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Oct 26 2020
What Does Our Future Inflation Gauge Tell Us About Inflation Prospects?
Barron's Streetwise Podcast Interview. More
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Oct 15 2020
Inflation Is Making A ‘Pervasive and Persistent’ Comeback
Interview on the inflation cycle, along with consumers spending on goods and services, and business cycle recovery. More
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Oct 08 2020
Outlook for The U.S. Economy
Interview on where the economy stands and where it's headed. More
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Oct 07 2020
What Record Growth Numbers Miss About The Economic Recovery
Stock prices are up sharply from their March lows, yet many small businesses and those who lost their jobs are in dire straits. More
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Oct 06 2020
Updated Growth and Inflation Outlook
Listen to ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan on Grant's Podcast discussing the updated economic outlook. More
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Sep 21 2020
Podcast: Recovery Update
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan shares an update to our recovery call and developing nuances. More
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Aug 27 2020
Industrial Sector Outlook, Inflation and Economic Recovery Update
Interview on ECRI’s leading indicator's latest readings on the industrial growth outlook, inflation prospects and update to the U.S. economic recovery. More
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Aug 18 2020
Leading Indexes Show Where Consumer is Headed
Interview on ECRI’s high-frequency leading indexes objectively reveal what comes next for global industrial growth outlook and the U.S. consumer. More
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Aug 13 2020
Gold is Not All that Glitters
Gold grabs the headlines, but Copper has truly been on a tear. More
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Aug 03 2020
PMIs Up In Line with Earlier Forecast
Manufacturing PMIs again confirm our May upturn call. More
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Jul 15 2020
Recovery from Recession and Risk of Fresh Slowdown
Interview on recession, recovery and the risk of a fresh slowdown. More
Testimonial
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction - even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that - lead where things were headed.
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
"eerily accurate"
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
(ECRI's) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.