News & Events
-
Jul 09 2021
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate drops. More
-
Jul 02 2021
Jobs Revival Strengthens
Employment chart comparing today vs. the same time period post Great Recession. More
-
Jul 02 2021
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls. More
-
Jun 25 2021
Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases. More
-
Jun 18 2021
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls. More
-
Jun 11 2021
Flashback: May 2020 Industrial Revival Call
Just over a year ago we made an industrial upturn call that never wavered. What’s next? More
-
Jun 11 2021
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls to below 21%. More
-
Jun 04 2021
Jobs Revival Picking Up Pace
Comparing recent jobs numbers to the great recession. More
-
Jun 04 2021
Employment/Population Ratio Differences
A look at the most recent employment/population ratio data. More
-
Jun 04 2021
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreased to below 22%. More
-
May 28 2021
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down to 23.5%. More
-
May 21 2021
Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls to 23.8%. More
-
May 17 2021
Levy Economics Institute
Presentation: The Fed Forgets the FIG, Makes a Virtue of Necessity
Watch ECRI’s Achuthan discuss the wide divide in opinions about inflation and what makes ECRI’s U.S. Future Inflation Gauge different. More
-
May 14 2021
Weekly Leading Index Rises Further
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases to 24.4%. More
-
May 14 2021
Bad for Business? Wild Media Sector Swings Point to Overheated Equities Market
You’ve got a fundamental recovery goosed by stimulus, either monetary or fiscal, and part of the way that it gets goosed is these different funds will leverage their bets. More
-
May 07 2021
Inflation Watch: Why The Fed Is Paying Close Attention To This Chart
The Federal Reserve is closely watching inflation expectations, and investors ought to, too. More
-
May 07 2021
Updated Inflation Cycle View
Watch ECRI's discussion yesterday on CNBC Trading Nation regarding the Fed and the U.S. inflation outlook. More
-
May 07 2021
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 24.8%. More
-
May 03 2021
From Lumber To TIPS To Bitcoin: 12 Inflation-Hedging Investment Moves
The Federal Reserve says not to worry about the 2.6% jump in the CPI. But the bond market is skeptical and it may be time to get yourself some protection. More
-
Apr 30 2021
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips further to 23.9%. More
Testimonial
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
(ECRI's) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
"eerily accurate"
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
