News & Events
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Aug 04 2014
New Growth Rate Cycle Dates for Australia
Today ECRI is announcing new Australian growth rate cycle dates. More
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Aug 01 2014
ECRI Inflation Gauge Rises to 71-month high
Underlying inflation pressures are clearly ratcheting up. More
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Aug 01 2014
Euro zone inflationary pressures hit 27-month high
In sharp contrast, on Thursday annual inflation fell to just 0.4 percent in July, its lowest reading since 2009. More
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Jul 03 2014
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge at 70-month High
"With the USFIG trending up and hitting a 70-month high in June, underlying inflation pressures have risen further." More
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Jul 03 2014
Euro zone inflationary pressures at 25-month high
"... euro zone inflation is likely to bottom out in the coming months." More
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Jun 06 2014
New Growth Rate Cycle Dates for Austria
Today ECRI is announcing a new Austrian growth rate cycle trough date. More
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Jun 06 2014
Eurozone Inflation Pressures Remain Muted
Inflation pressures remain muted, according to the Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge, published a day after interest rate cuts and other monetary easing by the ECB. More
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May 30 2014
Cognitive Dissonance at the Fed?
As Fed and CBO trend growth estimates fall to the Fed's 2% recessionary stall speed, how does economy reach escape velocity? More
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May 30 2014
US Money Slump Flashes Warnings as Economy Contracts
The US seems caught in a Japan-style trap, endlessly masking the effect by stealing a little extra growth from the future with artificial stimulus. More
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May 09 2014
Business Insider
Q&A: Where Are We in Economic Cycle?
Exclusive interview with Lakshman Achuthan, including, "What's everyone getting wrong about the state of the economy right now?" and "What's the status of your recession call?" More
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May 06 2014
New Business Cycle Dates for France and Spain
ECRI has determined new business cycle peak and trough dates for France, as well as a business cycle trough date for Spain. More
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May 02 2014
Euro zone inflation pressures remain muted
Inflationary pressures in the euro zone have increased marginally but remain subdued, an indicator designed to predict cyclical trends showed on Friday. More
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May 01 2014
Earnings Growth Upturn Masks Labor Market Weakness
Earnings growth has risen for an unwelcome reason – because growth in hours has fallen faster than pay growth. More
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May 01 2014
Is the U.S. Heading Toward a Deeper Downturn?
The economy's leading indexes were pointing to a slowdown before bad weather hit earlier this year -- but there is much more to the economy's weakness than weather. More
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Apr 30 2014
Failure to Launch - Confirmed
The year began with an overwhelming consensus: that the economy was "taking off" and would soon reach "escape velocity." We disagreed (Jan. 14). More
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Apr 04 2014
Eurozone inflation pressures muted
Inflationary pressures remain muted in the eurozone, doing little to allay fears about deflation in the 18-nation bloc, an indicator designed to predict cyclical trends showed. More
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Apr 03 2014
Cycle Peak for Russia
Today ECRI is announcing a new Russian growth rate cycle peak in December 2011. More
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Mar 14 2014
Price Signals of Global Slack
World trade price growth has seen almost continuous deflation since early 2012, and its renewed weakness suggests even more slack in the global economy. More
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Mar 07 2014
Growth Rate Cycle Dates for China
Today ECRI is announcing new Chinese growth rate cycle dates, a trough in Dec. 2010, and a peak in Feb. 2012. More
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Mar 07 2014
Euro zone inflationary pressures still subdued
Euro zone inflation pressures, while having edged up, remain subdued. More
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