News & Events
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Mar 04 2016
U.S. Inflation Gauge Grows in February
The USFIG increased further in February to a 16-month high. More
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Mar 01 2016
Simple Math Revisited
Potential U.S. GDP growth is converging to ¾% a year, identical to Japan's GDP growth over its "lost decades." More
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Feb 22 2016
Bloomberg Interview Highlights
14 minute clip of today's Bloomberg TV interview; discussing Fed's mandate, consensus expectations, and three grand economic experiments at risk of failing. More
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Feb 12 2016
The Myth of the Resilient Consumer
The premise of a consumer-driven pickup in U.S. economic growth is demonstrably false. More
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Feb 05 2016
U.S. Inflation Gauge Ticks Up
Underlying inflation pressures, while having crept up since last spring, remain fairly subdued. More
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Feb 05 2016
Eurozone Inflation Pressures Fade
With inflation well below its 2 percent target ceiling, the ECB is expected to cut its deposit rate further into negative territory in March, a Reuters poll found. More
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Jan 28 2016
Grand Experiments That Are Too Big to Fail
The fate of the global economy depends on the success of these unconventional efforts to boost economic growth. More
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Jan 22 2016
New Interview with Real Vision
Dec. 15, 2015 discussion of the 2016 outlook, including Fed policy, post-GFC developments, and what is cyclical vs. structural in today's economy. More
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Jan 20 2016
U.S. Coincident Index Growth Rate at 24-Month Low
The USCI year-over-year growth rate slipped to 2.2%, a 24-month low. More
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Jan 14 2016
Fresh Data: Cheap Labor
The employment/population ratio – which, unlike the jobless rate, is consistent with stagnant wage growth – may also be overstating job market health. More
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Jan 08 2016
Interview on Latest Jobs Report
A closer look at the details of today's jobs report reveals why concerns remain about the health of the labor market. More
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Jan 08 2016
Updated: Multiple Jobholders Boost "Full-time" Employment
The rising ranks of multiple jobholders are driving job gains. More
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Jan 06 2016
Inventory Overhang Looms Larger
With a yawning gap opening up between inventories and sales, the I/S ratio has soared to the highest reading since June 2009. More
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Dec 23 2015
Updated: The Myth of Consumer-Driven Growth
The premise of a consumer-driven pickup in U.S. economic growth is demonstrably false. More
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Dec 17 2015
Interview on Implications of Fed Rate Hike
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Ali Velshi to discuss the implications of the Fed rate hike. More
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Dec 16 2015
U.S. Coincident Index Growth Rate at 21-Month low
The USCI year-over-year growth rate slipped to 2.7%, a 21-month low. More
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Dec 15 2015
New Business Cycle Trough Date Determined for Italy
New Italian business cycle trough date. More
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Dec 10 2015
Full Bloomberg TV Interview
Key takeaways from Bloomberg TV interview: Cyclical Slowdown, Oversupply Overwhelming Demand and Reality of Inventory Build. More
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Dec 08 2015
Interview Part 3, Reality of Inventory Build
Inventories have risen steadily, but sales have been falling since the summer of 2014. More
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Dec 08 2015
Interview Part 2, Oversupply Overwhelming Demand
Post-GFC stimulus has resulted in massive oversupply. More
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