News & Events
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May 06 2016
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge at 93-month High
The USFIG increased further in April to a 93-month high. More
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May 06 2016
Multiple jobs needed to make ends meet
Multiple jobholders growth much faster than single jobholders. More
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May 04 2016
PCBE
Where Are We in The Economic Cycle?
NABE Conference Slides with Notes More
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Apr 28 2016
Recession Fears Still Overblown
Talking with Simon Constable at Forbes about why there's a long way to go before calling a recession. More
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Apr 27 2016
U.S. Headed for 'Stagflation-Lite'
Speaking with Simon Constable at Forbes about why "stagflation-lite" is in our future. More
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Apr 26 2016
Stalling or Falling?
Gross Domestic Income has been below 2%, the Fed's estimated "stall speed," for ten of the last 14 quarters. More
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Apr 22 2016
What The Fed Can Learn From Carl Sagan
Unfortunately, the Fed's policy making experts haven't got the goods to back up their claims. More
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Apr 20 2016
U.S. Coincident Index Growth Rate Slips
Year-over-year growth in ECRI's USCI slips to 2.3%. More
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Apr 15 2016
Flawed Assumptions and Grand Experiments
Minsky conference slides and audio. More
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Apr 13 2016
Fed Faces Stagflation Lite
With sluggish U.S. economic growth slowing further, and inflation on the rise, the Fed is faced with "stagflation lite." More
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Apr 07 2016
New Growth Rate Cycle Peak Date Determined for Japan
New Japanese growth rate cycle date. More
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Apr 01 2016
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rose
The USFIG rose further in March to its highest reading since the summer of 2008. More
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Mar 24 2016
U.S. Coincident Index Growth Rate Ticks Down
Year-over-year growth in ECRI's USCI, a broad measure of economic activity that includes GDP, employment, income and sales, ticked down to to 2.3%. More
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Mar 16 2016
Interview on Fed and the Business Cycle
More often than not, turns in economic surprise indexes are false alarms, and false all-clear signals. More
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Mar 15 2016
Monetary Policy Parlor Tricks
Inexorable declines in NGDP growth have become more evident internationally. More
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Mar 04 2016
U.S. Inflation Gauge Grows in February
The USFIG increased further in February to a 16-month high. More
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Mar 01 2016
Simple Math Revisited
Potential U.S. GDP growth is converging to ¾% a year, identical to Japan's GDP growth over its "lost decades." More
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Feb 22 2016
Bloomberg Interview Highlights
14 minute clip of today's Bloomberg TV interview; discussing Fed's mandate, consensus expectations, and three grand economic experiments at risk of failing. More
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Feb 12 2016
The Myth of the Resilient Consumer
The premise of a consumer-driven pickup in U.S. economic growth is demonstrably false. More
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Feb 05 2016
U.S. Inflation Gauge Ticks Up
Underlying inflation pressures, while having crept up since last spring, remain fairly subdued. More
Upcoming Events
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Dec06
Upcoming Webcast with Dave Interview
Rosenberg Research December 6, 2022
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