News & Events
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Sep 02 2016
Latest Jobs Data in Context
Slowdown continues amid weak global trade. More
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Sep 02 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Ticked Up
U.S. WLI ticked up to 138.4, while the growth rate remains unchanged at 8.1%. More
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Sep 02 2016
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Declined in August
USFIG stayed near July's 97-month high in August. More
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Aug 31 2016
Amid Structural Lowflation, World Exports Decline
As we first showed in early 2015, and expanded on this summer, trade continues to languish, with year-over-year global export volume growth slipping back below zero. More
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Aug 26 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Increases
U.S. WLI increased to 138.1, while the growth rate ticked down to 8.1%. More
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Aug 19 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Ticked Down
U.S. WLI ticked down to 137.8, while the growth rate decreased to 8.4%. More
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Aug 17 2016
U.S. Coincident Index Growth Rate Unchanged
Year-over-year growth in the USCI, a broad measure of economic activity, remained at a 30-month low. More
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Aug 12 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
U.S. WLI remains unchanged at 137.6, while the growth rate ticked up to 8.4%. More
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Aug 05 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Decreases
U.S. WLI decreases to 137.6, while the growth rate edges up to 8.2%. More
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Aug 05 2016
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
USFIG at a 97-month high in July. More
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Jul 29 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
U.S. WLI ticks down to 138.0, while the growth rate rises to 8.0%. More
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Jul 27 2016
Stagflation Lite Getting Harder to Ignore
ECRI's U.S. Coincident Index growth has been in a clear downtrend since the beginning of 2015. More
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Jul 22 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Increased
U.S. WLI increased to 138.1, while the growth rate rose to 7.5%. More
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Jul 20 2016
ECRI's Simple Math Goes Global
Weak demographics and productivity growth plague the G7, lowering trend economic growth, which makes cyclical slowdowns more risky. More
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Jul 15 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
U.S. WLI edges up to 137.0, while the growth rate ticks up to 6.9%. More
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Jul 13 2016
Interview: Cyclical Outlook vs. Structural Problems
Just because a U.S. recession isn't right at hand, doesn't mean it's off the table. More
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Jul 12 2016
U.S. WLI Monthly Ticked Up
U.S. WLI (monthly data) ticked up to 134.7, growth rate increased to 6.4%. More
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Jul 08 2016
Discussing Latest Jobs Data
Even with the strong jobs report, we still have a clear slowdown in yoy payroll job growth remains close to May's 27-month low. More
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Jul 08 2016
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Grows in June
The USFIG rose again to an eight-year high in June. More
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Jul 08 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Ticked Up
U.S. WLI ticked up to 136.7, while the growth rate decreased to 6.8%. More
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