News & Events
-
Sep 13 2019
An Upturn In India’s Growth Cycle Is In The Offing
The ECRI’s forward-looking leading indicators on India’s economic cycle tell us that there is a bottoming-out of growth that is in the offing. More
-
Sep 13 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth edges up to -2.5%. More
-
Sep 12 2019
The Trouble with Oil Price Predictions
The ECRI’s forward-looking leading indicators on India’s economic cycle tell us that there is a bottoming-out of growth that is in the offing. More
-
Sep 06 2019
Hiring Cooled in August, The Latest in a Long Line of Data Indicating Trump’s Trade War is Starting to Bite
The unemployment rate remained at 3.7 percent. More
-
Sep 06 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth falls further to -2.9%. More
-
Sep 05 2019
Jobs Growth Prospects Dim
Leading Employment Index growth, which nailed the current jobs slowdown, has fallen sharply. More
-
Sep 01 2019
Central Bank Failures and Recession Risks
Updates to ECRI’s U.S. and China slowdown calls, and monetary policy dilemmas in the context of Grand Experiments launched post-GFC. More
-
Aug 30 2019
Worsening U.S. Slowdown
Discussion about the ongoing turns in U.S. economic growth and inflation. More
-
Aug 30 2019
Surveillance Podcast: Global Slowdown and Trade War
ECRI's Achuthan joins Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast to discuss global slowdown and U.S.-China trade war. More
-
Aug 30 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth falls to -2.1%. More
-
Aug 30 2019
China’s “Rust Belt” Problem
The Chinese cyclical slowdown continues, as they shore up their “rust belt.” More
-
Aug 29 2019
Inflation Cycle, The Fed and Recession Risks
ECRI's Achuthan joined CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the inflation cycle, Fed and recession risks. More
-
Aug 23 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth decreases to -1.3%. More
-
Aug 20 2019
How an Economic Downturn Could Ravage Hollywood
“The yield curve is a very imperfect leading indicator of a recession, globally,” says Achuthan, calling it just a “piece of the puzzle.” More
-
Aug 16 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth declines to -0.5%. More
-
Aug 14 2019
Recession Risk, Rate Cuts and the Future Inflation Gauge
Recession risk is determined not by when the Fed stops rate hikes, but by when it starts a rate cut cycle. More
-
Aug 09 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth slips to 0.1%. More
-
Aug 01 2019
PMIs Have Not Bottomed Yet
ECRI leading index of PMIs predicts cyclical turns in the ISM and Markit U.S. manufacturing PMIs. More
-
Jul 31 2019
The Elephant in the Room Forcing the Fed Rate Cut
The inflation cycle downturn leaves the Fed with no option but to cut rates. More
-
Jul 26 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth edged up to 0.0%. More
Testimonial
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
"eerily accurate"
