News & Events
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Feb 08 2022
From Gung-Ho to the “R–Word”
ECRI’s process is designed to place decision-makers ahead of the curves in inflation and economic growth, regardless of the salient narrative dominating the headlines. More
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Jan 06 2022
Interview on Inflation, The Fed & Recession Risks
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the inflation cycle, the Fed and recession risks. More
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Dec 18 2021
Fed Risks Policy Mistake
Either the Fed pivots yet again to turn more dovish next year, or it stays the course and something breaks – meaning serious recession risk. More
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Dec 10 2021
Inflation and Consumer Spending Update
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance discussing inflation and consumer spending. More
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Dec 03 2021
Jobs Growth Trending Down
Jobs growth continues its clear downtrend. More
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Dec 02 2021
Growth Slowdowns and Markets
Slowdowns in economic growth see a flattening in the Dow and Russell 2000 punctuated by sharp spikes down. More
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Nov 24 2021
Checking In on Inflation
One of the most interesting things about cycles is that they turn, always. More
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Nov 18 2021
Consumer Spending Cools Off
In sharp contrast to the prevailing optimism, ECRI analysis shows consumer spending is in a cyclical slowdown that will weigh on holiday sales. More
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Nov 17 2021
Contrarian Call Suggests Consumers Are In Trouble This Holiday Season
“There’s still this narrative that the rebound is there,” the Economic Cycle Research Institute co-founder told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Wednesday. More
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Nov 09 2021
Checking In on China
ECRI's Achuthan shares thoughts on recent events in Chinese growth and inflation. More
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Oct 19 2021
Proactive Decision Making
ECRI’s framework for monitoring economic cycles gives us much greater foresight and unwavering conviction, without being jerked around by shifting narratives. More
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Oct 08 2021
Job Growth Eases
Job growth has eased in line with our earlier call. More
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Sep 17 2021
Downturn In The Global Industrial Economy
A lot of people are excited about the runup in commodities. We’re saying directionally you got to look the other way. More
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Sep 17 2021
Cooling Commodity Currencies
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's discussion on CNBC Trading Nation on global industrial slowdown call and industrial commodity price inflation. More
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Sep 15 2021
What would Lee Iacocca do?
Companies are routinely blindsided by cyclical changes in the direction of growth that aren’t really Black Swans. More
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Sep 10 2021
Slowdown, Dead Ahead!
Deep dive into where we are now in the business cycle. More
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Sep 10 2021
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips. More
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Sep 09 2021
Managing Equity Market Risk
It’s important to understand that major corrections are linked to cyclical downturns in economic growth. More
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Sep 07 2021
Monitoring Cycles To Manage Risk
Watch our webinar about our U.S. slowdown call, including lots of Q&A. More
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Sep 03 2021
Cyclical Dynamics in Recovery
We know what happens following recovery from deep recessions. More
Testimonial
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
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In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock - deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation-. The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
