News & Events
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Jan 22 2021
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 17.7%. More
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Jan 15 2021
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks up to 16.3%. More
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Jan 15 2021
Global Industrial Upturn Despite Continuing Covid Crisis
How our May 2020 global industrial upturn call played out through the New Year, and what comes next. More
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Jan 08 2021
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 16.1%. More
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Jan 05 2021
What Investors Should Expect From 2021's Economic Climate
ECRI's outlook for 2021 on Yahoo Finance. More
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Jan 04 2021
2021 Outlook
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance regarding the outlook for 2021. More
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Dec 31 2020
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 15.2% More
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Dec 31 2020
2021 Look Ahead
We know that the bears are hibernating, but trees don't grow to the sky. More
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Dec 24 2020
Weekly Leading Index Moves Up Further
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 14.5%. More
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Dec 18 2020
Weekly Leading Index Moves Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises further to 13.1%. More
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Dec 16 2020
2020 Track Record: Covid-19, Shortest Recession, Global Recovery
Updates to ECRI’s 2020 track record, including mandated “short” recessions, recoveries, inflation cycle calls and some fresh slowdowns. More
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Dec 11 2020
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises further to 12.1%. More
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Dec 10 2020
Home Price Growth Rising at Fastest Pace Since Early 2000s
Housing is doing something it hasn’t done since the bubble. More
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Dec 07 2020
Business Cycle Dynamics Point the Way Higher
Leading indexes continue to point to a robust recovery and reflation trade. More
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Dec 04 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 11.0%. More
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Dec 01 2020
Durability of "Short Recession" and Recovery Call
Discussing the durability of our April "short recession" and recovery call. More
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Nov 25 2020
Weekly Leading Index Advances
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 9.6%. More
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Nov 20 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 8.6% More
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Nov 13 2020
Podcast: Economic Cycles, Inflation and Recovery Update
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan shares updated cycle research insights, highlighting the inflation cycle and the shape of the recovery. More
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Nov 13 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth highest since early 2018. More
Upcoming Events
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May05
Upcoming 29th Annual Minsky Conference
Levy Economics Institute May 5, 2021
Testimonial
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
(ECRI's) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation-. The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
