News & Events
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Mar 14 2017
U.S. WLI Monthly Unchanged
WLI monthly level was unchanged at 143.1, growth rate fell to 10.0%. More
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Mar 10 2017
Interview on U.S. Jobs, Fed & ECB
Lakshman Achuthan's Reuters interview on U.S. Jobs, the Fed and ECB. More
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Mar 10 2017
U.S. WLI Edged Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index level edged down to 144.9, the growth rate decreased to 9.5%. More
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Mar 10 2017
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
The USFIG inched up further in February, staying in a cyclical upswing. More
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Mar 08 2017
Cyclical Outlook Good, But Sustained 3-4% GDP Growth Unlikely
Interview highlights on near-term outlook, and specific items that need to improve for faster sustained growth. More
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Mar 08 2017
ECB Risks Inflation Surprise
The Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge shows that the ECB is falling behind the curve. More
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Mar 06 2017
ECB Mistaking Structural for Cyclical
In sustaining massive amounts of QE, the ECB overlooks the reality that much of the labor market's problems are structural. More
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Mar 03 2017
U.S. WLI Increased
The U.S. Weekly Leading Index increased to 145.4, the growth rate ticked down to 10.2%. More
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Feb 24 2017
U.S. WLI Ticked Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreased. More
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Feb 24 2017
Why Women Aren't Entering the Workforce Like They Were in '90s
A new study looks at the trend and the implications for Trump's economic agenda. More
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Feb 23 2017
How Reliable Are GDP Consensus Forecasts?
With President Trump in office, economists have been revising their GDP growth forecasts for 2017. More
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Feb 23 2017
RBI Sees Multiple Fed Rate Hikes
The continued cyclical upswing in ECRI's U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (that anticipates U.S. inflation) points to further increases in inflation. More
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Feb 17 2017
U.S. WLI Decreased
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticked down. More
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Feb 14 2017
Financial Sense
U.S. Economy Experiencing Growth Upturn
After two years of slowing economic growth, leading indicators for the US have decisively turned upwards. More
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Feb 10 2017
U.S. WLI Ticked Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate was virtually unchanged. More
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Feb 08 2017
U.S. WLI Monthly Increased
U.S. WLI level at 143.1, growth rate edged up to 11.8%. More
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Feb 06 2017
Immigration, Women, Key to Job Growth Goals
With current rates of immigration maintained, population growth expected to fall .5% in ten years to .2%. More
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Feb 03 2017
Reuters Interview on Jobs and U.S. Inflation
Reuters interview with Lakshman Achuthan on jobs and U.S. inflation prospects. More
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Feb 03 2017
U.S. WLI Unchanged
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreased. More
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Feb 03 2017
Future Inflation Gauge Leads Inflation Expectations
Last summer, when inflation expectations were near multiyear lows, the USFIG was already in a decisive upturn. More
Testimonial
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm. Jan. 2005
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock - deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI's insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI's indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation-. The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
