News & Events
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Feb 06 2017
Immigration, Women, Key to Job Growth Goals
With current rates of immigration maintained, population growth expected to fall .5% in ten years to .2%. More
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Feb 03 2017
Reuters Interview on Jobs and U.S. Inflation
Reuters interview with Lakshman Achuthan on jobs and U.S. inflation prospects. More
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Feb 03 2017
U.S. WLI Unchanged
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreased. More
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Feb 03 2017
Future Inflation Gauge Leads Inflation Expectations
Last summer, when inflation expectations were near multiyear lows, the USFIG was already in a decisive upturn. More
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Feb 02 2017
Trump Will Need 'Dramatic Surge In Immigration' To Reach Job Goals
Absent "baby boom" demographics, and without a surge in immigration or women joining the labor force, it will be difficult to add 25 million jobs in 8 years. More
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Feb 01 2017
Women's Labor Force Participation Down, Capping Jobs & Economic Growth
The job growth promised by President Trump requires demographics the U.S. used to enjoy decades ago. More
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Jan 27 2017
U.S. WLI Increased
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate highest since May 7, 2010. More
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Jan 26 2017
Cutting Through the Confusion
Following the election, ECRI's unique perspective helped cut through the confusion about the state of the economy among mainstream economists. More
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Jan 23 2017
Global Economy Caught in Structural Straitjacket
The global economy is experiencing a period of rising growth and inflation, but these cyclical swings do not negate long-term structural trends. More
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Jan 20 2017
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Rose
U.S. WLI growth rate is at a 349-week high. More
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Jan 17 2017
Disentangling Cyclical from Structural
Hong Kong presentation slides and notes. More
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Jan 13 2017
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Up
U.S. WLI growth rate is at a 348-week high. More
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Jan 13 2017
2016 Shapes 2017 Cyclical Outlook
Cycle calls for inflation and growth extend into New Year. More
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Jan 10 2017
U.S. WLI Monthly Rose
U.S. WLI level at 142.1, growth rate increased to 11.8%. More
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Jan 06 2017
U.S. WLI Edged Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate is at a 347-week high. More
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Jan 06 2017
U.S. FIG Dips in December
The USFIG stays near November's 8½-year high. More
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Jan 05 2017
Interview on Cyclical Growth & Inflation Outlook
Lakshman Achuthan discusses cyclical prospects for the global economy. More
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Dec 30 2016
U.S. WLI Ticked Up
The U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increased to 11.8%, a 346-week high. More
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Dec 30 2016
RBI Governor Urjit Patel in Favour of Retaining Repo Rate
On the basis of the Indian leading indices produced by the ECRI, it can be inferred that the Indian economy was in a resilient state. More
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Dec 30 2016
2016: A Year Defined by America's Diverging Economies
The strength of the post-recession recovery has varied dramatically not just from income bracket to income bracket, but from place to place as well. More
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