News & Events
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Jan 13 2017
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Up
U.S. WLI growth rate is at a 348-week high. More
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Jan 13 2017
2016 Shapes 2017 Cyclical Outlook
Cycle calls for inflation and growth extend into New Year. More
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Jan 10 2017
U.S. WLI Monthly Rose
U.S. WLI level at 142.1, growth rate increased to 11.8%. More
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Jan 06 2017
U.S. WLI Edged Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate is at a 347-week high. More
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Jan 06 2017
U.S. FIG Dips in December
The USFIG stays near November's 8½-year high. More
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Jan 05 2017
Interview on Cyclical Growth & Inflation Outlook
Lakshman Achuthan discusses cyclical prospects for the global economy. More
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Dec 30 2016
U.S. WLI Ticked Up
The U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increased to 11.8%, a 346-week high. More
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Dec 30 2016
RBI Governor Urjit Patel in Favour of Retaining Repo Rate
On the basis of the Indian leading indices produced by the ECRI, it can be inferred that the Indian economy was in a resilient state. More
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Dec 30 2016
2016: A Year Defined by America's Diverging Economies
The strength of the post-recession recovery has varied dramatically not just from income bracket to income bracket, but from place to place as well. More
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Dec 23 2016
U.S. WLI Increased
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate is at 345-week high. More
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Dec 23 2016
Pinching Productivity
A sustained boost to GDP growth requires productivity-enhancing investment that looks to be missing from CEOs' plans. More
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Dec 20 2016
Who Picked Trump? Mrs. White, in the Kitchen, Sorting Bills: The Economy, Stupid
When the data are reviewed, it doesn't take wild conspiracy theories to see why Trump won. It was the economy. More
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Dec 17 2016
No, Minority Workers are Not Taking Jobs Away from White People
"The shock of the election spoke to a kind of disconnect" More
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Dec 16 2016
Only Retirement-Age Whites Gain Jobs Share
Yellen got her wish, but the prime-working-age E/P ratio has fallen for Whites, Asians & Hispanics since pre-recession highs. More
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Dec 16 2016
U.S. WLI Ticked Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index to a 496-week high, while the growth rate a 344-week high. More
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Dec 14 2016
Fed Rate Hike
Cyclical context of Fed's statement More
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Dec 13 2016
Where Were Trump's Votes? Where the Jobs Weren't
For Whites, Fewer Jobs; for Minorities More. More
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Dec 12 2016
U.S. WLI Monthly Rose
U.S. WLI level at 138.9, growth rate increased to 8.5%. More
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Dec 09 2016
U.S. WLI Increased
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rose to 9.7%, highest since May 7, 2010. More
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Dec 02 2016
U.S. FIG Rises Again
102-month high shows that underlying inflation pressures are still mounting. More
Testimonial
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
I find that ECRI's historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
"penetrating analysis"
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
